Abstract
   Multiple myeloma (MM) is a prevalent hematological malignancy that
   poses significant challenges for treatment. Dysregulated cholesterol
   metabolism has been linked to tumorigenesis, disease progression, and
   therapy resistance. However, the correlation between cholesterol
   metabolism-related genes (CMGs) and the prognosis of MM remains
   unclear. Univariate Cox regression analysis and LASSO Cox regression
   analysis were applied to construct an overall survival-related
   signature based on the Gene Expression Omnibus database. The signature
   was validated using three external datasets. Enrichment analysis and
   immune analysis were performed between two risk groups. Furthermore, an
   optimal nomogram was established for clinical application, and its
   performance was assessed by the calibration curve and C-index. A total
   of 6 CMGs were selected to establish the prognostic signature,
   including ANXA2, CHKA, NSDHL, PMVK, SCAP and SQLE. The prognostic
   signature demonstrated good prognostic performance and correlated with
   several important clinical parameters, including number of transplants,
   International Staging System, albumin, beta2-Microglobulin and lactate
   dehydrogenase levels. The function analysis and immune analysis
   revealed that the metabolic pathways and immunologic status were
   associated with risk score. The nomogram incorporating the signature
   along with other clinical characteristics was constructed and the
   discrimination was verified by the calibration curve and C-index. Our
   findings indicated the potential prognostic connotation of cholesterol
   metabolism in MM. The development and validation of the prognostic
   signature is expected to aid in predicting prognosis and guiding
   precision treatment for MM.
   Subject terms: Cancer, Computational biology and bioinformatics,
   Metabolomics
Introduction
   Multiple myeloma (MM) is a hematologic malignancy that arises from the
   heterogeneous clonal proliferation of plasma cells and accounts for
   over 17% of all cases in this category^[36]1. While the emergence of
   novel therapies like immunotherapy, monoclonal antibodies, and
   proteasome inhibitors has led to a significant improvement in MM
   survival rates over the past 15 years, the disease remains incurable
   due to high rates of recurrence and mortality^[37]2–[38]4. For example,
   bortezomib, a reversible inhibitor of proteasome, has been applied in
   MM patients for several years^[39]5. However, while bortezomib
   effectively eliminates bortezomib-sensitive tumor subclones, it
   unfortunately also stimulates the growth and expansion of
   bortezomib-resistant subclones, which contributes to the relapse of
   MM^[40]6,[41]7. Thus, it’s important to develop new biomarkers and
   effective models to stratify the risk and prognosis of MM, as well as
   guide the individual treatment.
   Metabolic reprogramming has emerged as an important aspect of cancer,
   and dysregulated cholesterol metabolism has been identified as an
   integral part of tumor proliferation, invasion, and
   metastasis^[42]8,[43]9. Cholesterol is an essential component of
   mammalian membrane structure and plays a crucial role in maintaining
   cell homeostasis and critical cellular structure^[44]10–[45]12. Several
   genes related to cholesterol metabolism have been found to be
   dysregulated in tumor samples, with LDLR overexpression, which mediates
   cholesterol uptake, being associated with the development and
   occurrence of most cancer cells^[46]13–[47]15. Additionally, various
   transcription factors that regulate cholesterol metabolism, including
   SREBP2 and RORγ, have been found to be upregulated in different tumors
   such as colon cancer, breast cancer, and glioblastoma^[48]16–[49]18.
   The proliferation and survival of MM cells are also found to be
   correlated with cholesterol metabolism. Liver X receptors (LXR), a
   transcriptional regulator that regulates lipid and cholesterol
   homeostasis, could influence clonogenic tumor growth and self-renewal
   potential in MM^[50]19. 5,6-epoxycholesterol isomers, a kind of
   cholesterol, has been found to induce oxiapoptophagy and demonstrate
   anti-tumor activity against MM cells^[51]20. Previous researches have
   also demonstrated that high-dose statins could suppress MM cell
   survival through inhibition of cholesterol biosynthesis^[52]21,[53]22.
   Furthermore, Recent studies have shown that cholesterol can regulate
   immune cells within the tumor microenvironment, playing a role in T
   cell exhaustion and macrophage polarization and influencing the
   efficacy of cancer immunotherapy^[54]23–[55]25. However, there is
   currently no relevant research on the prognostic value of cholesterol
   metabolism-related genes (CMGs) in MM.
   The aim of this study is to develop a prognostic signature based on
   CMGs and explore its significance in MM patients. We validated the
   predictive value of our signature using both training cohort and three
   external validation cohorts. Additionally, we investigated the
   connection between the signature and functional signaling pathways, as
   well as immune status. Our findings are expected to help the diagnosis
   and precision treatment of MM.
Methods
Study population and data acquisition
   Our study included five cohorts of MM patients obtained from the Gene
   Expression Omnibus (GEO) database
   ([56]https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/) with accession numbers
   [57]GSE136324, [58]GSE136337, [59]GSE118985, [60]GSE24080, and
   [61]GSE4204. The microarray expression data and detailed clinical
   information were downloaded. We excluded samples if corresponding
   survival data were missing. The [62]GSE136324 dataset served as the
   training cohort, while the [63]GSE136337, [64]GSE24080, and [65]GSE4204
   datasets were used as validation cohorts. The [66]GSE118985 dataset was
   used to compare the expression of CMGs between tumor and normal
   samples.
Collection of cholesterol metabolism-associated genes
   Five genesets related to cholesterol metabolism, including Hallmark
   cholesterol homeostasis genes, GOBP regulation of cholesterol genes, WP
   cholesterol metabolism genes, WP cholesterol biosynthesis genes and
   Reactome cholesterol biosynthesis genes were obtained from the
   Molecular Signature Database
   ([67]https://www.gsea-msigdb.org/gsea/msigdb/index.jsp)^[68]26,[69]27.
   A total of 140 CMGs were collected after removing the overlapping genes
   from the aforementioned five genesets. After intersecting the 140 CMGs
   with all the genes included in the five MM datasets, we retrieved 123
   reliable CMGs for further analysis (Supplementary Fig. [70]1 and
   Supplementary Table [71]1).
Construction of prognostic signature
   Univariate Cox hazards regression analysis was applied to identify CMGs
   that had a significant correlation with overall survival (OS) in the
   [72]GSE136324 and [73]GSE136337 datasets (P < 0.05). Then, we used the
   least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression
   analysis to determine the crucial signatures and corresponding
   coefficients for model construction with 1000-fold cross-validation
   based on the eligible OS-related CMGs^[74]28. The cholesterol
   metabolism index (CMI) could be calculated using the following formula:
   [MATH: CMI=∑βi∗Ei :MATH]
   βi represents the corresponding regression coefficient while Ei
   represents the expression level of each gene. The CMI was then
   normalized and transformed by subtracting the minimum value in each
   dataset and dividing by the maximum value, allowing CMI to map to the
   range of 0–1. Based on the median cutoff of CMI, patients were divided
   into high and low-risk groups.
Assessment of drug responsiveness
   The “OncoPredict” package was used to assess the drug
   susceptibility^[75]29. The transcriptomic and cell line response data
   from the Sanger’s Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer (GDSC) was
   downloaded and applied as training cohort^[76]30.
Differential gene analysis and functional enrichment analysis
   The differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified using Limma
   with the significance criteria set to |log2FC|> 0.4 and false discovery
   rate (FDR) < 0.05. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was then
   performed to explore the enriched signaling pathways and intrinsic
   functions. The GSEA software (version 4.3.2, available at
   [77]http://software.broadinstitute.org/gsea) with the
   “h.all.v7.5.1.entrez.gmt” and “msigdb.v7.5.1.entrez.gmt” molecular
   signature databases was utilized, with FDR < 0.05 considered
   statistically significant^[78]26. One thousand total permutations were
   applied to ensure the validity of the results. Additionally, functional
   protein–protein interaction network analysis was conducted using
   STRING^[79]31.
Estimation of immune cell infiltration
   Cell-type Identification By Estimating Relative Subsets Of RNA
   Transcripts (CIBERSORT) was used to analyze immune cell infiltration in
   the high and low-risk groups based on LM22 signatures with 1000
   permutations^[80]32.
Development and validation of cholesterol metabolism-correlated
clinicopathologic nomogram
   Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to
   determine whether CMI was an independent prognostic predictor of MM.
   Based on the results of these analyses, a cholesterol
   metabolism-correlated clinicopathologic nomogram was developed by
   incorporating CMI with five other clinical characteristics, using the R
   packages “cmprsk” and “rms”. To assess the predictive discrimination of
   the nomogram, calibration curves and concordance indices (C-index) were
   calculated^[81]33,[82]34. In a well-calibrated model, the predictions
   of the calibration curve are expected to fall on a 45° diagonal line,
   and the C-index ranges from 0.5 to 1.0, with 0.5 indicating random
   chance and 1.0 indicating perfect discrimination.
Statistical analysis
   The statistical analyses were conducted using R software (version
   4.2.1, [83]http://www.R-project.org) and relevant packages. The
   Kaplan–Meier method was employed to generate survival curves, and the
   log-rank test was used to compare them. Univariate and multivariate Cox
   regression analyses were conducted to identify OS-related CMGs and
   independent prognostic indicators of OS. When appropriate, the Wilcoxon
   test and Kruskal–Wallis test were used to compare continuous variables
   across different groups. Spearman’s correlation test was applied for
   correlation analysis. A two-sided P-value of less than 0.05 was
   considered statistically significant. The false discovery rate
   correction was used for multiple tests to reduce the false-positive
   rate.
Results
Establishment of prognostic signature based on cholesterol
metabolism-associated genes
   To determine the potential prognostic value of each available CMG, we
   utilized the univariate Cox hazards regression analysis in the
   [84]GSE136324 and [85]GSE136337 datasets to identify prognostic
   relevance of CMGs, resulting in 47 and 21 significant OS-related CMGs,
   respectively (Supplementary Table [86]2). By intersecting the results
   of the two cohorts, we identified 11 overlapping OS-related CMGs that
   were eligible for further analysis (Fig. [87]1A). LASSO Cox regression
   model was further performed in the [88]GSE136324 cohort aiming to
   unearth the optimal CMGs for establishing the prognostic signature.
   Ultimately, we identified six genes to construct the signature,
   including ANXA2, CHKA, NSDHL, PMVK, SCAP and SQLE (Fig. [89]1B,C). The
   CMI of each patient was calculated using the signature formula:
   CMI = 0.0949 * ANXA2 + 0.1037 * CHKA + 0.4595 * NSDHL + 0.0803 *
   PMVK + 0.0783 * SCAP. The protein–protein interaction network of these
   genes revealed that SQLE was the hub gene (Fig. [90]1D and
   Supplementary Table [91]3). Moreover, the expression of most signature
   genes was significantly correlated with each other (Fig. [92]1E and
   Supplementary Fig. [93]2).
Figure 1.
   [94]Figure 1
   [95]Open in a new tab
   Establishment of prognostic signature based on cholesterol
   metabolism-associated genes. (A) Venn diagram to identify overlapping
   prognostic CMGs between [96]GSE136324 and [97]GSE136337 (B) Coefficient
   profiles of LASSO Cox regression analysis. (C) Partial likelihood
   deviance for LASSO Cox regression analysis. (D) The protein–protein
   interaction network of CMGs included in the signature. (E) The
   correlation matrix plot displaying the correlation features among CMGs
   included in the signature.
Verifying the expression and prognostic capability of signature-containing
genes
   Figure [98]2A shows the validation of the expression levels of the 6
   CMGs in normal and MM tissues using the [99]GSE118985 dataset. The
   results indicated that ANXA2, PMVK and SQLE were significantly
   upregulated in MM samples, while CHKA was downregulated. However, NSDHL
   and SCAP did not show significant changes in expression. Besides, in
   the separated survival analyses of OS, it was observed that MM patients
   with high expression of all selected genes had worse prognoses compared
   to those with low expression in all four datasets, except that SCAP in
   the [100]GSE4204 did not reach the statistical significance
   (Fig. [101]2B and Supplementary Fig. [102]3).
Figure 2.
   [103]Figure 2
   [104]Open in a new tab
   Validation of the expression and prognostic capability of
   signature-containing genes. (A) Boxplot showing the expression
   difference of 6 CMGs between tumor samples and normal samples in
   [105]GSE118985. (B) Kaplan–Meier analyses of overall survival based on
   expression levels of 6 CMGs in [106]GSE136324. **, P < 0.01; ****,
   P < 0.0001; ns, not significant.
Assessment and validation of prognostic signature
   In the [107]GSE136324 dataset, we categorized MM patients into high-
   and low-CMI groups based on the median threshold of CMI (Fig. [108]3A).
   The proportion of deceased patients was higher in the high-CMI group
   than in the low-CMI group (Fig. [109]3B). Furthermore, as CMI
   increased, expression levels of all signature genes also increased
   (Fig. [110]3C). Patients with MM in the high-CMI group had
   significantly worse overall survival compared to those in the low-CMI
   group (P = 0.00056) (Fig. [111]3D). To confirm these findings'
   prognostic significance for CMI, we conducted similar analyses using
   three external validation datasets: [112]GSE136337, [113]GSE24080 and
   [114]GSE4204. Using an identical calculation formula for CMI
   categorization into high- and low-groups among MM patients revealed
   that consistent with our previous results from [115]GSE136324 dataset;
   patients belonging to a high-CMI group experienced worse OS than those
   belonging to a low-CMI group across all validation cohorts
   (Fig. [116]3D). Furthermore, we found that MM patients in the high-CMI
   group had worse progression-free survival (PFS) in the [117]GSE136324
   and [118]GSE136337 datasets, while there was only trend for significant
   difference of event-free survival (EFS) in the [119]GSE24080 dataset
   (Supplementary Fig. [120]4).
Figure 3.
   [121]Figure 3
   [122]Open in a new tab
   Assessment and validation of prognostic signature in the training and
   validation cohorts. (A) Distribution of the patients’ normalized CMI.
   (B) Scatter plots of patients’ overall survival time and their CMI. (C)
   Heatmaps showing the expression levels of 6 CMGs in MM samples. (D)
   Kaplan–Meier curves showing overall survival of MM patients in the
   high- and low-CMI groups.
Integrated analysis of prognostic signature and clinicopathologic factors
   We examined the relationship between CMI and clinicopathologic
   characteristics. Significant differences in CMI were observed across
   various clinical parameters, such as number of transplants,
   International Staging System (ISS), revised-ISS (R-ISS), albumin
   levels, beta-2 microglobulin (β2M) levels, and lactate dehydrogenase
   (LDH) levels (Fig. [123]4A–F). Our findings suggested that higher CMI
   was associated with higher β2M and LDH levels, ISS and R-ISS staging,
   as well as lower albumin levels. However, we did not observe any
   correlation between CMI and age, gender or race (Supplementary
   Fig. [124]5). The result was further confirmed using the [125]GSE24080
   dataset (Supplementary Fig. [126]6). Moreover, we observed that higher
   CMI was correlated with GEP-70 high risk status, deletion (del)1p32,
   del1p, del1q, del13q and del16q (Supplementary Fig. [127]7). We also
   estimated the drug response to the chemotherapeutic agents and found
   that the high-CMI cohort showed more sensitive to cytarabine,
   epirubicin, vorinostat and bortezomib compared to the low-CMI group
   (Fig. [128]4G and Supplementary Fig. [129]8).
Figure 4.
   [130]Figure 4
   [131]Open in a new tab
   Integrated analysis of prognostic signature and clinicopathologic
   factors. Comparison of normalized CMI according to (A) number of
   transplants, (B) International Staging System (ISS), (C) revised-ISS
   (R-ISS), (D) albumin levels, (E) beta-2 microglobulin (β2M) levels and
   (F) lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels. (G) Evaluations of the drug
   susceptibility between high- and low-CMI groups in the [132]GSE136324
   dataset. *, P < 0.05; **, P < 0.01; ***, P < 0.001; ****, P < 0.0001.
Functional analysis of prognostic signature
   We screened for differentially expressed genes between high- and
   low-CMI groups in the [133]GSE136324 database. We identified a total of
   98 DEGs, with 45 significantly upregulated genes and 47 essentially
   downregulated genes in the high-CMI group (Fig. [134]5A). Kyoto
   Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analysis showed
   that the high-CMI group was mainly enriched in metabolic pathways
   including biosynthesis of amino acids, steroid biosynthesis and
   biosynthesis of nucleotide sugars while the low-CMI group was mainly
   enriched in motor proteins (Fig. [135]5B)^[136]35. The results of GSEA
   analysis using the KEGG database demonstrated that aminoacyle-tRNA
   biosynthesis, proteasome, ribosome biogenesis in eukaryotes, steroid
   biosynthesis and terpenoid backbone biosynthesis were significantly
   enriched in the high-CMI group, while cholesterol homeostasis, DNA
   repair, MYC targets and unfolded protein response were fundamentally
   abundant in the high-CMI group through the GSEA results using the
   hallmark database (Fig. [137]5C,D and Supplementary Fig. [138]9).
Figure 5.
   [139]Figure 5
   [140]Open in a new tab
   Functional analysis of prognostic signature using [141]GSE136324
   dataset. (A) Volcano plot showing differentially expressed genes
   between high- and low-CMI groups. (B) Upregulated and downregulated
   pathways in the high-CMI group based on KEGG pathway enrichment
   analysis of differentially expressed genes. (C, D) Summary of GSEA
   results according to KEGG pathway and hallmark pathway.
Immune associated analysis of prognostic signature
   Immune checkpoint inhibitors have been developed and evaluated for
   various types of cancer. In this study, we compared the expression
   levels of several immune checkpoints between low- and high-CMI groups.
   Our findings indicate that CD274 (PD-L1), LAG3, BTLA, CD47, TIGIT and
   CD28 were significantly upregulated in the high-CMI group
   (Fig. [142]6A). Additionally, we used the CIBERSORT algorithm to
   evaluate 22 distinct types of tumor-infiltrating immune cells in low-
   and high-CMI patients. The results showed that abundance of macrophages
   M1 subtype were significantly lower in the high-CMI group in all four
   datasets (Fig. [143]6B,C and Supplementary Fig. [144]10). High-CMI
   group also had significantly less resting dendritic cells in three
   datasets. Furthermore, there were less CD8^+ T cells and neutrophils in
   the High-CMI patients in the [145]GSE136324 and [146]GSE136337
   datasets, while more monocytes and activated NK cells were found in the
   High-CMI patients in the [147]GSE24080 and [148]GSE4204 datasets.
Figure 6.
   [149]Figure 6
   [150]Open in a new tab
   Immune analysis of prognostic signature. (A) Boxplot showing the
   comparison of several immune checkpoints between high- and low-CMI
   groups. (B, C) Boxplot showing the comparison of 22 different immune
   cell types estimated by CIBERSORT between high- and low-CMI groups in
   (B) [151]GSE136324 and (C) [152]GSE24080 datasets. *, P < 0.05; **,
   P < 0.01; ***, P < 0.001; ****, P < 0.0001.
Development and evaluation of cholesterol metabolism-correlated
clinicopathologic nomogram
   To determine whether CMI was an independent prognostic indicator of MM,
   we conducted univariate Cox regression analysis on the [153]GSE136324
   dataset. Factors with P < 0.05 were included in multivariate Cox
   regression analysis (Fig. [154]7A,B). Our findings revealed that age,
   ISS, albumin, β2M, and CMI were independent risk factors for OS among
   MM patients. We then developed a clinicopathologic nomogram by
   combining these variables to predict the survival probability of MM
   patients (Fig. [155]7C). By summing up all points and locating them on
   the bottom scales, we could easily calculate estimated 3-, 5- and
   7-year OS probabilities. The calibration plots for the nomogram showed
   acceptable agreement between predicted estimates and observed outcomes
   (Fig. [156]7D). The Harrell's C-index of the nomogram for predicting OS
   was significantly higher than that of the ISS staging system for OS
   (0.678 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.648–0.708] vs. 0.634; [95% CI
   0.605–0.664]; P < 0.001), indicating that combining CMI with clinical
   characteristics provided a better prognostic indicator than using only
   ISS staging system. We further validated the predictive value of
   nomogram in the external [157]GSE136337 and [158]GSE24080 datasets
   using the calibration plots (Supplementary Fig. [159]11). The C-index
   was also acceptable for 0.677 (95% CI 0.638–0.717) and 0.682 (95% CI
   0.637–0.727) in the [160]GSE136337 and [161]GSE24080 respectively.
Figure 7.
   [162]Figure 7
   [163]Open in a new tab
   Development and evaluation of cholesterol metabolism-correlated
   clinicopathologic nomogram. (A, B) Forest plots showing (A) univariate
   Cox regression analysis and (B) multivariate Cox regression analysis of
   the prognostic signature and clinicopathologic factors. (C) Nomogram
   for predicting 3-, 5-, and 7-year overall survival in MM patients. (D)
   Calibration curve to evaluate the consistency of predicted and actual
   overall survival.
Discussion
   Reprogramming of metabolism, which includes dysregulated cholesterol
   metabolism, has been associated with tumor progression and response to
   treatment in various types of cancer^[164]36. Cholesterol homeostasis
   is crucial for the growth and survival of mammalian cells. However,
   malignant cells require more cholesterol than normal cells for their
   rapid growth. Abnormal expression of genes involved in cholesterol
   biosynthesis and uptake has been observed in breast cancer, ovarian
   cancer, renal cancer, and other types of
   cancers^[165]24,[166]37,[167]38. For instance, HMGCR, a rate-limiting
   enzyme in cholesterol biosynthesis, was upregulated in many tumors;
   knockdown of HMGCR could impede tumor proliferation and
   metastasis^[168]39,[169]40. Several studies have suggested that
   targeting cholesterol metabolism could be an effective anti-tumor
   strategy, with targeted inhibition of HMGCR being preliminarily applied
   to treat cancer patients^[170]36,[171]41,[172]42. Nevertheless, the
   specific role played by cholesterol metabolism in MM remains unclear.
   Therefore, this study aims to develop a novel prognostic signature
   comprising multiple genes related to cholesterol metabolism for MM
   patients.
   In this study, we screened 6 CMGs (ANXA2, CHKA, NSDHL, PMVK, SCAP and
   SQLE) based on a systematical analysis using GEO datasets and
   established and validated a model which could predict the prognosis of
   MM. There have been many researches focusing on the genes identified in
   our study, which could verify the reliability of model to some extent.
   For instance, annexin A2 (ANXA2) is a calcium-regulated
   membrane-binding protein which could inhibit PCSK9-enhanced LDLR
   degradation, reduce PCSK9 protein levels via a translational mechanism
   and compete with LDLR for binding with PCSK9^[173]43,[174]44. ANXA2 is
   found to promote MM cell growth, reduce apoptosis in MM cell lines,
   increase osteoclast formation and have a significant impact on survival
   of myeloma patients^[175]45.Choline kinase alpha (CHKA) is the initial
   enzyme involved in the biosynthesis of phosphatidylcholine and
   correlated with cholesterol homeostasis^[176]46. Previous studies have
   demonstrated that expression levels of CHKA could affect proliferation,
   metastasis, and survival of ovarian cancer and glioma^[177]47,[178]48.
   Inhibition of CHKA expression could also overcome resistance to
   TRAIL-mediated apoptosis in ovarian cancer cells^[179]47. NAD(P)
   dependent steroid dehydrogenase-like (NSDHL) is an enzyme involved in
   cholesterol biosynthesis and is found to promote breast cancer growth
   and metastasis, as well as serve as a biomarker for early detection of
   gastric cancer^[180]49–[181]51. Phosphomevalonate kinase (PMVK)
   catalyzes the conversion of mevalonate 5-phosphate to mevalonate
   diphosphate, a key step in the mevalonate pathway of isoprenoid
   biosynthesis. Previous researches reveal that PMVK could stabilize
   β-catenin signaling via mevalonate diphosphate and also associate with
   responses to chemotherapeutic agents^[182]52,[183]53. Sterol regulatory
   element binding protein (SREBP) cleavage-activating protein (SCAP)
   could bind to SREBPs and mediate their transport from the endoplasmic
   reticulum to the Golgi in the presence of cholesterol, leading to the
   regulation of sterol biosynthesis^[184]54. EGFR signaling in cancer
   cells could promote N-glycosylation of SCAP by increasing glucose
   uptake and enhance tumor progression^[185]55. Squalene epoxidase
   (SQLE), which is the rate-limiting enzyme catalyzes the stereospecific
   oxidation of squalene, is one of the most significantly upregulated
   CMGs in numerous tumors^[186]56. SQLE promotes the growth and
   metastasis of various tumors and it’s a potential metabolic target for
   cancer therapy^[187]57,[188]58. In together, our study further
   elucidates the important role of these 6 CMGs in MM, and the prognostic
   signature constructed by these genes has good performance in predicting
   the overall survival of MM patients.
   Functional analysis revealed that aminoacyle-tRNA biosynthesis, steroid
   biosynthesis, terpenoid backbone biosynthesis, cholesterol homeostasis,
   DNA repair, MYC targets and other related pathways were associated with
   cholesterol metabolism in MM. As an essential component of lipid rafts
   in mammalian cells, cholesterol is involved in many oncogenic signaling
   pathways in tumor cells, including MYC, MAPK and Wnt pathway^[189]23.
   MYC could enhance cholesterol biosynthesis and dysregulate cholesterol
   transport and storage, leading to tumor cell
   progression^[190]59,[191]60. Previous studies have also reported that
   there was interaction between cholesterol biosynthesis and DNA repair
   genes^[192]61,[193]62. Inhibition of the cholesterol biosynthesis could
   lead to the accumulation of toxic metabolic intermediates, which causes
   replicative stress and replication checkpoint-activated cell-cycle
   arrest. Taken together, our results have reconfirmed the relationship
   between cholesterol metabolism and signaling pathways.
   Bortezomib is now widely used in the treatment of MM, yielding
   excellent responses. Bortezomib could inhibit the proliferation and
   induce the apoptosis of MM cells by blocking cytokine circuits, cell
   adhesion, and angiogenesis^[194]63. However, not all patients treated
   with bortezomib experience favorable outcomes. Previous researches have
   reported that bortezomib resistance might be associated with
   cholesterol metabolism^[195]64,[196]65. Our study also revealed that
   low-CMI patients showed resistant to bortezomib and several other
   chemotherapeutic agents, demonstrating that cholesterol metabolism in
   MM might contribute to the response of treatment. Moreover, several
   researches have suggested that activation of autophagy is associated
   with bortezomib resistance, while there was minor connection between
   CMI and autophagy in our research^[197]63,[198]66.
   In addition, immunotherapy has become a promising treatment of cancer
   in recent years, but how to identify suitable patients for
   immunotherapy remains unclear^[199]67. Immune checkpoint inhibitor has
   been employed in preclinical or clinical trials as a major strategy of
   immunotherapy. In this study, we chose 6 immune checkpoints and
   compared the expression levels between the low- and high-CMI groups of
   MM. The results revealed that they were significantly upregulated in
   high-CMI group, indicating that MM patients with higher CMI might
   obtain a better response to immune checkpoint inhibitors. Furthermore,
   the effect of immunotherapy is closely related to infiltration of
   immune cells, while cholesterol is found to be associated with number
   and function of immune cells within tumor microenvironment. Cholesterol
   could decrease the number of CD8^+ T cells and cause exhaustion of T
   cells^[200]68. Besides, Cancer cells could promote cholesterol efflux
   from the plasma membrane and induce pro-tumor phenotype of
   macrophages^[201]24,[202]69. Consistent with these findings, our study
   revealed that the high-CMI group has lower CD8^+ T cells and higher
   number of M1 macrophages than the low-CMI group. Collectively, the
   result implicated that MM patients in the high-CMI group may benefit
   from immunotherapy.
   Several limitations still remain in our study. First, we performed the
   analyses based on public datasets. The performance of the prognostic
   signature should be further validated by prospective clinical trials.
   Second, the value and mechanism of 6 signature-contained CMGs in MM
   remains unclear and needs further in vitro and in vivo experiments to
   assess. Third, the relationship between the prognostic signature and
   application of immunotherapy needs to be further explored.
Conclusions
   In conclusion, we constructed and validated a gene signature based on 6
   CMGs to predict the prognosis of MM. This gene signature could provide
   a novel option for the prognosis prediction of MM and help the
   diagnosis and precision therapy of MM.
Supplementary Information
   [203]Supplementary Information.^ (2.2MB, pdf)
Abbreviations
   β2M
          Beta-2 microglobulin
   CIBERSORT
          Cell-type identification by estimating relative subsets of RNA
          transcripts
   CI
          Confidence interval
   C-index
          Concordance index
   CMG
          Cholesterol metabolism-related gene
   CMI
          Cholesterol metabolism index
   DEGs
          Differentially expressed gene
   FDR
          False discovery rate
   GEO
          Gene expression omnibus
   GSEA
          Gene set enrichment analysis
   ISS
          International staging system
   KEGG
          Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes
   LASSO
          Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator
   LDH
          Lactate dehydrogenase
   MM
          Multiple myeloma
   OS
          Overall survival
   R-ISS
          Revised international staging system
Author contributions
   Z.L. and H.Z. designed the research study. N.Z., C.Q., Y.Y., H.L., Y.L.
   performed the data acquisition and analysis. N.Z. and C.Q. interpreted
   the data and wrote the main manuscript text. Z.L. and H.Z. critically
   revised the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final
   manuscript.
Funding
   This study was supported by the Project of Key Medical Specialty and
   Treatment Center of Pudong Hospital of Fudan University (Grant No:
   zdzk2020-06), the Research Grant for Health Science and Technology of
   Pudong Municipal Commission of Health committee of Shanghai (Grant No:
   PW2020A-70) and the Scientific Research Foundation provided by Pudong
   Hospital affiliated to Fudan University (Grant No: YJ2019-13).
Data availability
   The raw data of our study were downloaded from the GEO database
   ([204]https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/).
Competing interests
   The authors declare no competing interests.
Footnotes
   Publisher's note
   Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in
   published maps and institutional affiliations.
   These authors contributed equally: Na Zhao and Chunxia Qu.
Contributor Information
   Hongbo Zhu, Email: bonniezhu2009@163.com.
   Zhiguo Long, Email: zg_long@fudan.edu.cn.
Supplementary Information
   The online version contains supplementary material available at
   10.1038/s41598-023-46426-z.
References