Abstract Previous observational studies suggested that sarcopenia is associated with Parkinson disease (PD), but it is unclear whether this association is causal. The objective of this study was to examine causal associations between sarcopenia-related traits and the risk or progression of PD using a Mendelian randomization (MR) approach. Two-sample bidirectional MR analyses were conducted to evaluate causal relationships. Genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics for sarcopenia-related traits, including right handgrip strength (n = 461,089), left handgrip strength (n = 461,026), and appendicular lean mass (n = 450,243), were retrieved from the IEU OpenGWAS database. GWAS data for the risk of PD were derived from the FinnGen database (4235 cases; 373,042 controls). Summary-level data for progression of PD, including progression to Hoehn and Yahr stage 3, progression to dementia, and development of levodopa-induced dyskinesia, were obtained from a recent GWAS publication on progression of PD in 4093 patients from 12 longitudinal cohorts. Significant causal associations identified in MR analysis were verified through a polygenic score (PGS)-based approach and pathway enrichment analysis using genotype data from the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative. MR results supported a significant causal influence of right handgrip strength (odds ratio [OR] = 0.152, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.055–0.423, adjusted P = 0.0036) and appendicular lean mass (OR = 0.597, 95% CI = 0.440–0.810, adjusted P = 0.0111) on development of levodopa-induced dyskinesia. In Cox proportional hazard analysis, higher PGSs for right handgrip strength (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.225, 95% CI = 0.095–0.530, adjusted P = 0.0019) and left handgrip strength (HR = 0.303, 95% CI = 0.121–0.59, adjusted P = 0.0323) were significantly associated with a lower risk of developing levodopa-induced dyskinesia, after adjusting for covariates. Pathway enrichment analysis revealed that genome-wide significant single-nucleotide polymorphisms for right handgrip strength were substantially enriched in biological pathways involved in the control of synaptic plasticity. This study provides genetic evidence of the protective role of handgrip strength or appendicular lean mass on the development of levodopa-induced dyskinesia in PD. Sarcopenia-related traits can be promising prognostic markers for levodopa-induced dyskinesia and potential therapeutic targets for preventing levodopa-induced dyskinesia in patients with PD. Subject terms: Parkinson's disease, Risk factors Introduction Parkinson disease (PD) is the second most common neurodegenerative disease and is characterized by the progressive loss of nigrostriatal dopaminergic neurons^[34]1. The pathogenesis of PD is multifactorial, resulting from the complex interaction of polygenetic susceptibility, the environment, and lifestyle factors^[35]2. Symptoms of PD are complex, including classic motor features (e.g., bradykinesia, rigidity, rest tremor, gait disturbances) and various nonmotor features (e.g., cognitive decline, depression)^[36]1. Although levodopa is an effective symptomatic medical treatment for PD, the chronic use of levodopa can lead to debilitating motor complications, such as levodopa-induced dyskinesia (LID). These complications further complicate the management of PD^[37]3,[38]4. As attempts to develop disease-modifying therapeutics have been unsuccessful despite extensive research, substantial attention has shifted toward environmental and lifestyle factors that may modulate the risk or progression of PD, such as pesticide exposure, smoking, tea or caffeine consumption, and diabetes^[39]1,[40]2. Recently, an increasing body of evidence supports a potential link between sarcopenia and PD. Sarcopenia is a progressive skeletal muscle disorder diagnosed by the presence of low handgrip strength (HGS; probable sarcopenia) and/or low appendicular skeletal muscle mass (confirmed sarcopenia)^[41]5. Sarcopenia leads to adverse health outcomes, including frailty and death, and is frequently related to chronic degenerative diseases, including PD^[42]6. Similar to PD, sarcopenia occurs as an age-related process influenced by genetic, environmental, and lifestyle factors across the lifetime^[43]5. Recent systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies demonstrated that sarcopenia is more frequent in patients with PD, compared to healthy elderly adults, and significantly increases the risk of falls in people with PD, indicating a possible relationship between sarcopenia and PD^[44]7. Several pathomechanisms proposed for sarcopenia, including chronic inflammation, autophagy, and oxidative stress, also contribute to the development of PD^[45]1,[46]5. However, the causal association between sarcopenia and PD remains unclear, as the supporting evidence mainly comes from observational studies. These studies are inherently subject to biases from confounding factors and reverse causation. Mendelian randomization (MR) is a statistical framework that uses genetic variants as instrumental variables (IVs) to serve as a proxy for the effect of exposure on the outcome of interest^[47]8. MR can mitigate the impact of confounding and reverse causation because genetic variants, that are assigned randomly at conception, are not influenced by confounding and outcomes^[48]9. MR approach has been used to examine causality between sarcopenia and various diseases, such as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, coronary artery disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus, depression, and osteoporosis^[49]10–[50]13. In PD, two prior MR studies tested the causal links between sarcopenia and the risk of PD, despite the conflicting results^[51]14,[52]15. Moreover, causality between sarcopenia and the progression of PD has not been evaluated through MR approach. It is well-recognized that simple lifestyle interventions, such as a high-protein diet and resistance exercise, can improve sarcopenia. Accordingly, clarifying the true nature of the association between sarcopenia and PD may provide evidence to justify conducting high-cost, large-scale clinical trials targeting sarcopenia and may lead to the development of effective preventive strategies for modifying the risk or progression of PD. Here, we evaluated the causal inference between sarcopenia-related traits and the risk of PD using a two-sample MR analysis. We also examined whether sarcopenia is causally associated with the progression of PD, including motor disability, cognitive decline, and LID. We also performed a PGS-based approach and pathway enrichment analysis to verify significant causal associations identified by MR analyses. Results Overall, our MR results demonstrated a significant causal effect of right-HGS or appendicular lean mass (ALM) on the development of LID (Fig. [53]1 and Supplementary Fig. [54]1). In the primary inverse-variance weighted (IVW) MR analysis, genetic predisposition to a higher right-HGS was causally associated with a lower risk of developing LID in patients with PD (odds ratio [OR] = 0.152, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.055–0.423, adjusted P = 0.0036; Fig. [55]1). MR-Egger (OR = 0.016, 95% CI = 0.000–0.572, nominal P = 0.0247) and weighted median (OR = 0.182, 95% CI = 0.039–0.848, nominal P = 0.0300) methods also showed a significant causal relationship between right-HGS and the development of LID (Supplementary Figs. [56]1 and [57]2). Even through IVW MR analysis revealed a causal association of nominal significance between genetically predicted left-HGS and the development of LID (OR = 0.316, 95% CI = 0.104–0.959, nominal P = 0.0420, adjusted P = 0.5042; Fig. [58]1), this association did not reach the statistical significance using the MR-Egger and weighted median methods. Genetic predisposition to a higher ALM was causally related to a lower risk of developing LID on MR analysis (OR = 0.597, 95% CI = 0.440–0.810, adjusted P = 0.0111; Fig. [59]1), whereas a tendency toward a causal association between ALM and LID development was demonstrated with the MR-Egger (OR = 0.584, 95% CI = 0.293–1.166, nominal P = 0.1278) and weighted median (OR = 0.625, 95% CI = 0.373–1.047, nominal P = 0.0744) methods (Supplementary Figs. [60]1 and [61]2). Bidirectional MR analysis showed no causal influence of genetically predicted sarcopenia-related traits on the risk of PD, progression to dementia, or progression to HY3 (Fig. [62]1 and Supplementary Fig. [63]1). We also found no genetic evidence of reverse causation between PD progression and sarcopenia-related traits (Table [64]1). Fig. 1. Results of Mendelian randomization analyses between sarcopenia-related traits and risk or progression of Parkinson disease. [65]Fig. 1 [66]Open in a new tab The column labeled ‘P value’ is nominal, and an asterisk (*) indicated significant causal associations after Bonferroni correction. HY3 Hoehn and Yahr stage of 3, LID levodopa-induced dyskinesia, NIV number of instrumental variables, PD Parkinson disease, CI confidence interval. Table 1. Results of reverse Mendelian randomization analyses between sarcopenia-related traits and progression of Parkinson disease Exposures Outcomes NIVs Method Odds ratio (95% CI) P value Risk of PD Right handgrip strength 1 Wald ratio 0.996 (0.965, 1.028) 0.787 Left handgrip strength 1 Wald ratio 0.988 (0.958, 1.020) 0.470 Appendicular lean mass 2 IVW 0.989 (0.973, 1.004) 0.157 Progression to dementia Right handgrip strength 11 IVW 0.999 (0.997–1.001) 0.1988 Right handgrip strength 11 MR-Egger 0.998 (0.989–1.007) 0.6413 Right handgrip strength 11 Weighted median 0.999 (0.997–1.002) 0.5105 Left handgrip strength 11 IVW 0.998 (0.996–1.000) 0.0640 Left handgrip strength 11 MR-Egger 0.997 (0.988–1.006) 0.4961 Left handgrip strength 11 Weighted median 0.998 (0.996–1.000) 0.1065 Appendicular lean mass 13 IVW 1.001 (0.998–1.003) 0.5792 Appendicular lean mass 13 MR-Egger 1.001 (0.995–1.006) 0.7973 Appendicular lean mass 13 Weighted median 1.000 (0.997–1.003) 0.9684 Progression to HY3 Right handgrip strength 5 IVW 1.000 (0.996–1.005) 0.8224 Right handgrip strength 5 MR-Egger 1.003 (0.997–1.009) 0.3630 Right handgrip strength 5 Weighted median 1.004 (1.000–1.007) 0.0453 Left handgrip strength 5 IVW 1.002 (0.999–1.005) 0.2272 Left handgrip strength 5 MR-Egger 1.004 (1.000–1.008) 0.1682 Left handgrip strength 5 Weighted median 1.004 (1.001–1.008) 0.0082 Appendicular lean mass 6 IVW 1.000 (0.997–1.002) 0.8397 Appendicular lean mass 6 MR-Egger 1.001 (0.996–1.005) 0.8094 Appendicular lean mass 6 Weighted median 1.000 (0.996–1.003) 0.8103 Development of LID Right handgrip strength 6 IVW 1.000 (0.997–1.003) 0.9793 Right handgrip strength 6 MR-Egger 1.005 (0.995–1.016) 0.3868 Right handgrip strength 6 Weighted median 0.999 (0.995–1.003) 0.6917 Left handgrip strength 6 IVW 0.999 (0.997–1.002) 0.6993 Left handgrip strength 6 MR-Egger 1.005 (0.995–1.014) 0.3841 Left handgrip strength 6 Weighted median 0.998 (0.995–1.002) 0.3854 Appendicular lean mass 7 IVW 1.001 (0.997–1.004) 0.7841 Appendicular lean mass 7 MR-Egger 1.002 (0.990–1.014) 0.7166 Appendicular lean mass 7 Weighted median 1.002 (0.997–1.006) 0.4127 [67]Open in a new tab CI confidence interval, HY3 Hoehn and Yahr stage of 3, IVW inverse-variance weighted, LID levodopa-induced dyskinesia, NIVs number of instrumental variables. In sensitivity analyses, the zero-intercept test of MR-Egger regression showed no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy across single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for the three associations (Supplementary Table [68]5). In addition, there was no heterogeneity in causal estimates according to MR-Egger or IVW methods using Cochran’s Q statistics (Supplementary Table [69]5). Leave-one-out sensitivity analysis confirmed that observed associations were not influenced by single SNPs (Supplementary Figs. [70]3–[71]5), and funnel plots exhibited symmetry, suggesting no horizontal pleiotropy (Supplementary Fig. [72]6). We could not perform complete sensitivity analyses between PD risk and sarcopenia-related traits because of the insufficient number of IVs after the stringent IV selection process. Based on our MR results, we performed PGS-based analysis to test whether PGS for sarcopenia-related traits was associated with the risk of developing LID among patients with PD in the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) database. The occurrence of LID was defined as the first time the patient reported a score ≥1 in the “Time spent with dyskinesias” item of the Movement Disorder Society-Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale part IV. LID-free survival duration was defined as the time from treatment initiation to LID occurrence for patients with an LID event or to the last visit for those without LID. We used age at PD onset, sex, disease duration, body mass index (BMI), levodopa equivalent daily dosage (LEDD) at the time of LID or the last visit, and the top three principal components as covariates. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models showed that a higher PGS for right-HGS (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.225, 95% CI = 0.095–0.530, adjusted P = 0.0019) and a higher PGS for left-HGS (HR = 0.303, 95% CI = 0.121–0.759, adjusted P = 0.0323) were significantly associated with a lower risk of developing LID. An elevated PGS for ALM was nominally associated with a reduced risk of developing LID (HR = 0.840, 95% CI = 0.708–0.998, nominal P = 0.0472, adjusted P = 0.1416). Patients with PD were also grouped into quintiles based on the PGS for each sarcopenia-related trait, and the risk of developing LID was compared between patients in the highest and lowest quintiles for each trait. The Kaplan–Meier (KM) analysis revealed that the risk of developing LID was significantly lower in patients in the highest PGS quintile for right-HGS, compared to those in the lowest quintile (adjusted P = 0.0014; Fig. [73]2). The risk of developing LID did not differ significantly between patients in the highest PGS quintile for ALM (adjusted P = 1.000) or left-HGS (adjusted P = 0.2693), compared to those in the lowest quintile for each trait. Fig. 2. Kaplan–Meier estimates of survival without levodopa-induced dyskinesia. Fig. 2 [74]Open in a new tab The probability of being levodopa-induced dyskinesia (LID)-free was compared between patients with Parkinson disease (PD) in the highest polygenic score (PGS) quintile (blue, n = 63) for right handgrip strength (HGS) and those in the lowest quintile (red, n = 63). The P value was calculated using the log-rank test and adjusted with the Bonferroni correction. The displayed rows of numbers indicated the count of PD patients at risk of LID and the censored observations during the follow-up period. Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment analysis for genome-wide significant SNPs of right-HGS identified several significantly enriched pathways (Fig. [75]3 and Supplementary Table [76]6). Among these, the mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) signaling pathway (adjusted P = 0.0036)^[77]16, cyclic GMP-dependent protein kinase G (cGMP-PKG) signaling pathway (adjusted P = 0.0087)^[78]17, long-term depression (LTD, adjusted P = 0.0157)^[79]18, and long-term potentiation (LTP, adjusted P = 0.0259)^[80]19,[81]20 have been suggested as contributors to the pathogenesis of LID via control of synaptic plasticity. Fig. 3. Pathway enrichment analysis for single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with right handgrip strength. Fig. 3 [82]Open in a new tab The nodes represent the pathways, with their sizes denoting the number of genes enriched in the pathway, while their colors corresponding to adjusted P value using Bonferroni correction. The enrichment represents the proportion of enriched genes in the given pathway to annotated genes. Discussion The present MR analysis showed that increased right-HGS or ALM significantly reduced the risk of LID. Furthermore, patients with a higher PGS for right-HGS had a lower risk of developing LID, possibly through the control of synaptic plasticity. In contrast, we found no causal link between genetically determined sarcopenia-related traits and the risk, motor progression, or cognitive decline of PD. To our knowledge, this is the first study to identify a significant causal link between sarcopenia-related traits and development of LID using MR analysis and a PGS-based approach. LID is a major motor complication that develops in patients with PD on long-term levodopa treatment^[83]1. Approximately 40% of patients with PD experience LID after 4–6 years of levodopa treatment, and its frequency increases overtime, up to 90% of patients receiving levodopa for more than 9–15 years^[84]3,[85]4. Because LID limits the administration of levodopa sufficient to provide maximal antiparkinsonian effects and nullifies the benefit of levodopa on motor disability, LID is a devastating complication that deteriorates quality of life^[86]3,[87]4. Accordingly, it is crucial to identify detrimental or protective factors for the occurrence of LID and initiate appropriate strategies to prevent its development. Clinical factors, such as longer disease duration, younger age at onset, higher levodopa dose, female sex, and lower BMI, are known to be associated with an increased risk of developing LID^[88]21,[89]22. The relationship between sarcopenia and LID has been explored in a few observational studies. One cross-sectional study demonstrated that HGS, but not skeletal muscle mass, was lower in PD patients with LID, compared to those without LID^[90]23. However, other cross-sectional studies reported that the frequency of LID did not differ between PD patients with sarcopenia and those without^[91]24,[92]25. A recent longitudinal study reported that the presence of sarcopenia at baseline, assessed by temporalis muscle thickness, was unrelated to the risk of developing LID^[93]26. Nevertheless, these observational findings may not be sufficient to draw a definitive conclusion due to a small sample size as well as possible confounding and reverse causation that are difficult to control in observational studies. In this regard, this MR analysis provided genetic evidence to support a causal influence of sarcopenia-related traits on the risk of LID in PD. Furthermore, the higher PGS for HGS was significantly correlated with a lower risk of LID after adjusting for clinical factors associated with LID, including age, sex, disease duration, BMI, and LEDD. HGS is known to be associated with various disease conditions and prognoses, irrespective of muscle mass^[94]27. Pathway enrichment analysis may give an insight into the shared biological mechanisms linking between HGS and the development of LID. KEGG pathway analysis revealed that genome-wide significant SNPs for right-HGS were substantially enriched in several biologic pathways associated with the control of synaptic plasticity, including LTP, LTD, the MAPK signaling pathway, and the cGMP-PKG signaling pathway. Although the pathogenesis of LID is not fully understood, a substantial body of research suggests that aberrant control of synaptic plasticity plays a central role. A link between LID and lack of depotentiation, the ability to reverse previously induced LTP, at corticostriatal synapses is well-described in in vivo and in vitro models of LID and PD patients with LID^[95]19,[96]20. Similar changes in synaptic plasticity also occur in basal ganglia output neurons, globus pallidus internus and substantia nigra pars reticulata, of PD patients with LID^[97]28. An electrophysiologic study reported that LID was associated with loss of bidirectional corticostriatal synaptic plasticity, with only LTD being induced in the indirect striatal pathway while only LTP being induced in the direct striatal pathway^[98]18. It is well-established that the MAPK signaling cascade, that leads to the activation of extracellular signal-regulated kinases-1 and -2 (ERK1 and ERK2), plays a vital role in the control of synaptic plasticity. In dyskinetic hemiparkinsonian murine models, the MAPK signaling pathway was abnormally activated in direct pathway striatal neurons^[99]16. It also found that Ras-ERK signaling is required to elicit the LPT induction and depotentiation at the corticostriatal synapses^[100]29. The nitric oxide/cGMP pathway, that activates PKG, is involved in the induction of corticostriatal LTD and was reduced in the dopamine-depleted striatum of dyskinetic rats^[101]17. An increase of cGMP level by phosphodiesterase inhibitors restores the reduced LTD and decreases the severity of dyskinesia in hemiparkinsonian rats treated with levodopa^[102]30. Taken together, higher HGS may protect against pathophysiologic processes of LID through the control of synaptic plasticity in PD. HGS is widely used in clinical and research settings because it is measured with non-invasive, simple-to-test, and inexpensive tools and reliably reflects general muscle strength^[103]31. Accordingly, measuring HGS can facilitate detection and regular monitoring of patients with PD who are more susceptible to the development of LID. This may lead to the implementation of preventive strategies for LID from the early disease stage, including consideration of dopamine agonist as an initial treatment option, limiting the levodopa dosage, administration of rotigotine transdermal patch, and adjunctive treatment with amantadine^[104]32–[105]36. In addition to the predictive utility, our findings suggest sarcopenia as a modifiable treatment target for preventing LID, adding the lifestyle recommendations for management of PD. It is well-recognized that sarcopenia can be improved by simple lifestyle interventions. These include oral nutritional therapy, such as a high-protein diet and supplementation of leucine and vitamin D, in combination with resistance exercise^[106]37–[107]40. Our data propose that patient with PD may benefit from the lifestyle interventions for sarcopenia to reduce the risk of LID. In this MR study, there was no genetic evidence supporting a causal effect of sarcopenia-related traits on the risk of PD. Our MR results are consistent, in part, with the findings of a recent MR study that examined causal relationships between 401 exposures, including sarcopenia-related traits, and PD risk^[108]14. On the contrary, a recent MR study by She et al. reported that low HGS was causally associated with the risk of PD, while ALM was not^[109]15. These conflicting findings might be mainly derived from the differences in GWAS data used in each study. Especially, She et al. used GWAS summary statistics of HGS that was dichotomized as low or high HGS according to the cut-off values defined by the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People or Foundation for the National Institutes of Health. In both the study by Noyce et al. and the current study, MR analyses were conducted using GWAS data on continuous values of HGS. Previous observational studies have suggested a link between sarcopenia and the risk of PD, mostly based on the presence or absence of sarcopenia that was determined by diagnostic criteria according to cut-off values of HGS or ALM^[110]7,[111]23,[112]25. Assumably, MR analysis using summary-level GWAS data of clinically confirmed sarcopenia, which is currently unavailable, may provide more definitive results on the causality with the risk of PD. A growing body of evidence has suggested that sarcopenia is significantly associated with cognitive impairment or Alzheimer’s disease. In addition to the epidemiological data, recent MR studies demonstrated that genetically determined sarcopenia-related traits were casually related to AD or lower cognitive performance, indicating that this association is causal^[113]41,[114]42. Several hypotheses, such as imbalance of myokine secretion and poor vascular homeostasis, have been proposed as shared pathomechanisms underlying these associations^[115]43. In PD, however, a few observational studies demonstrated inconsistent findings on the relationship between sarcopenia and cognitive impairment. In our MR analysis, there was no causal inference between sarcopenia and the progression to dementia in PD patients. However, current studies only provide limited evidence to determine the association between sarcopenia and cognitive impairment in PD, due to insufficient statistical power and differences in study design and methodologies. Future studies in large-scale datasets are needed to verify the association between sarcopenia and cognitive impairment in PD through various statistical methods, including MR. This study has several limitations. First, we could not determine the causal effects of sarcopenia defined according to specific diagnostic cut-off values, despite HGS and ALM being included as major diagnostic criteria for sarcopenia. This is because the current public database does not contain GWAS data for sarcopenia confirmed by the diagnostic algorithm. MR analysis using summary-level GWAS data of clinically confirmed sarcopenia may yield more discrete results on causal relationships between sarcopenia and the risk or progression of PD. Second, potential nonlinear effects could not be explored because of the use of aggregate data. Third, sex-stratified GWAS data were not available for sarcopenia-related traits or PD, prohibiting us from examining potential sex-related differences. Fourth, we could not exclude the potential influence of survival bias, as sarcopenia may affect patient mortality before PD is diagnosed. Fifth, the GWAS databases for sarcopenia-related traits and PD were mostly derived from individuals of European ancestry. Causal associations between sarcopenia-related traits and PD risk or outcomes may differ according to ethnicity. Sixth, given that the MR approach estimates the lifetime effects of constant exposures on outcomes, the results of MR analysis using time-varying exposures, such as sarcopenia-related traits, should be interpreted cautiously^[116]44. Seventh, we could not exclude the potential reverse causation between PD risk and sarcopenia-related traits due to the insufficient number of IVs, even though we additionally performed MR analysis using the Wald ratio method as an ancillary test. Eighth, as we used GWAS data of PD risk from the Finnish population, a potential founder effect could not be excluded. However, the genetic variants associated with PD are largely consistent between the Finnish population and the general European cohort, indicating that the founder effect on the genetic architecture of PD is limited (Supplementary Table [117]7). Finally, our MR study showed that causal association between left-HGS and the development of LID was nominally significant, while genetically predicted right-HGS was significantly associated with LID after multiple testing correction. This may be due to the moderately limited sample size of GWAS of LID, which might decrease the statistical power to detect the small effects. Alternatively, this asymmetric effect of HGS, biased to right-HGS, can be interpreted that HGS of dominant hand may have a more influential role in predicting the development of LID in PD. This possibility can be further explored using GWAS data of HGS of the dominant/nondominant hand that are currently unavailable. Our data support the causal influence of sarcopenia-related traits, specifically increased HGS or ALM, on reducing the risk of developing LID from a genetic perspective. These findings require further validation through large-scale longitudinal cohort studies or randomized controlled trials. Our approach suggests that sarcopenia-related traits may be easily used, reliable biomarkers for monitoring the development of LID and may lead to simple lifestyle modifications to prevent LID in patients with PD. Methods Study design We conducted a two-sample MR study to assess the causal relationship between sarcopenia-related traits and risk or progression of PD. The MR analysis was based on three assumptions, as shown in Fig. [118]4. We used right-HGS, left-HGS, and ALM for sarcopenia-related traits. Markers of PD progression included progression to Hoehn and Yahr stage 3 (HY3), progression to dementia, and development of LID. We then calculated PGS of the sarcopenia-related traits using individual genotype data from the PPMI cohort^[119]45 and conducted survival analysis for PD outcomes with significant causal associations identified in the MR study. Fig. 4. Overview of the two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis and major assumptions. [120]Fig. 4 [121]Open in a new tab The solid lines represent the direct causal associations estimated using genetic variants as instrumental variables for the factor of interest. The dashed lines represent potential causal associations between variables that may violate the MR assumptions. The red crosses mark the pathways that should be avoided in MR analysis. GWAS genome-wide association study, HY3 Hoehn and Yahr stage 3, IVW inverse-variance weighted, LID levodopa-induced dyskinesia, MR Mendelian randomization, PD Parkinson disease. Genome-wide association study summary statistics and instrumental variables selection GWAS data of sarcopenia-related traits, including right-HGS, left-HGS, and ALM, were retrieved from the IEU OpenGWAS database (Supplementary Table [122]1)^[123]46. GWAS for right-HGS and left-HGS was conducted in 461,089 and 461,026 UK Biobank participants (data fields 47 and 46), respectively, using 9,851,867 SNPs^[124]47. Handgrip strength was assessed using a calibrated Jamar [125]J00105 hydraulic hand dynamometer and adjusted for the patient’s hand size^[126]48. The total observed scale h^2 for right-HGS and left-HGS were 9.95% and 9.96%, respectively. GWAS for ALM was conducted in 450,243 individuals from the UK Biobank using 18,071,518 SNPs^[127]49. ALM is the most commonly used index of muscle mass in the sarcopenia literature. It is considered more appropriate for quantification of muscle mass than whole-body lean mass because ALM mitigates the effects of nonadipose tissue, cardiac/vascular smooth muscle, and the systemic water component. ALM was estimated using bioelectrical impedance analysis. To quantify ALM, fat-free masses in the arms and legs were summed and adjusted for appendicular fat mass, age, square of age, and other covariates^[128]49. The phenotypic variance explained by the 1059 lead variants in ALM was 17.8%^[129]49. GWAS summary statistics for the risk of PD were obtained from FinnGen release R9, which was derived from a nationwide network of Finnish biobanks (Supplementary Table [130]1)^[131]50. This PD GWAS consisted of a total of 20,170,236 SNPs in 4235 PD cases and 373,042 controls ([132]https://r9.finngen.fi/pheno/G6_PARKINSON). Summary statistics for the progression of PD were obtained from a recently published GWAS identifying genetic variants associated with 25 cross-sectional and longitudinal phenotypes of PD. The study included 4,093 patients with PD recruited from 12 longitudinal cohorts across North America, Europe, and Australia and followed for a median of 3.81 years (Supplementary Table [133]1)^[134]51. In the current study, we evaluated three specific traits for PD progression: progression to HY3, progression to dementia, and development of LID. The HY scale rates the severity of Parkinsonian motor disability from stage 1 (HY 1) to stage 5 (HY 5), with higher stages representing more severe motor symptoms. HY3 is clinically important because it is the stage when postural instability begins to appear. IVs were selected stringently according to the following steps: (1) we first extracted exposure-related SNPs that reached genome-wide significance, with a threshold of P value < 5E-8; (2) we then excluded SNPs with a minor allele frequency <0.01 from consideration; (3) to obtain independent SNPs associated with the exposure of interest, we applied linkage disequilibrium clumping (setting R^2 threshold as 0.001 and kilobase pairs as 10,000) and retained SNPs with the most significant P value; and (4) we harmonized the exposure and outcome data using the same set of SNPs and removed palindromic SNPs (Supplementary Tables [135]2–[136]4). We also performed MR analysis using the Wald ratio method because the reverse causal association between PD risk and sarcopenia-related traits could not be verified through IVW, MR-Egger or weighted median methods due to the insufficient number of IVs following the stringent selection process for IVs. This method can provide reliable estimates with even a single IV, enabling investigation of potential causal associations. Mendelian randomization and sensitivity analyses The primary MR analysis was performed using the random effect IVW method^[137]52. The Bonferroni method was applied to correct for multiple testing. MR-Egger^[138]53 and weighted median^[139]54 methods were used to complement and enhance the reliability of the MR findings. The MR-Egger method offers less biased effect estimates in scenarios of directional pleiotropy and considerable heterogeneity, assuming there is no measurement error. The weighted median method can provide consistent effect estimates even if up to 50% of the genetic variants do not meet the instrument strength independent of direct effect assumption. We utilized the MR-Egger and weighted median methods as auxiliary approaches to achieve unbiased results, despite the presence of some invalid instruments, at the cost of reduced statistical power. To check the robustness of the MR estimates, we conducted various sensitivity analyses. Egger intercept analysis was used to test the horizontal pleiotropic effects, and P value < 0.05 were considered indicative of possible horizontal pleiotropy^[140]53. MR-Egger and IVW methods using Cochran’s Q statistics were employed to identify potential heterogeneity among the SNPs, with P value < 0.05 considered suggestive of potential heterogeneity^[141]53,[142]55. Leave-one-out sensitivity analysis was used to assess whether the causal effect was driven by single SNPs. Significant changes in causal effects after excluding any specific SNP indicated the presence of heterogeneity^[143]56. Finally, a funnel plot was used to detect directional pleiotropy. Asymmetry of the plot indicated strong effects of certain SNPs on the outcome, despite their low precision, suggesting the potential presence of pleiotropy^[144]53. These analyses were conducted using the TwoSampleMR package (version 0.5.6) within the R software environment (version 4.0.5). Polygenic score calculation Quality control procedures were conducted on 619 genotype samples from the PPMI^[145]45 dataset, which included 267,607 SNPs, at both the subject and SNP levels. During this process, 13 samples were excluded due to genotype missingness exceeding 0.05 and 5 samples were removed due to mismatched sex. In addition, 12,476 SNPs with an overall missingness >0.05, 190 SNPs not meeting Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium with a P value < 1E-6, 9 SNPs with a test-mishap P value < 1E-9 and 206,479 SNPs with a minor allele frequency <0.01 were excluded from subsequent analyses. To assess relatedness among samples, we selected 28,378 linkage disequilibrium–independent SNPs out of the remaining 48,453 SNPs and estimated pairwise identity by descent using the PLINK routine “--indep 50 5 2”. Five samples exhibiting a heterozygosity rate deviating more than 4 standard deviations from the mean were excluded. If the pi-hat value, representing the proportion of shared alleles between two related samples, was 0.1875 to 0.9, we retained the sample with a higher genotyping call rate and excluded the other. If the pi-hat value was >0.9, both related cases were excluded to ensure integrity of the data. One sample was excluded in this step. Principal component analysis was employed to estimate genetic structure and population stratification within PD samples, using GCTA (version 1.94.1)^[146]57. Genotype quality control was conducted using PLINK (version 1.90b6.21)^[147]58 and in-house scripts. After filtering the low-quality samples and SNPs, we utilized 595 samples and 46,898 autosomal SNPs for imputation using Minimac4 (version 1.7.3) at the Michigan online imputation server ([148]https://imputationserver.sph.umich.edu/)^[149]59. Haplotype Reference Consortium (HRC version r1.1)^[150]60 was used as the reference panel. Haplotype phasing was estimated using Eagle2 (version 2.3)^[151]61, with a chunk size of 20 Mb. After removing duplicate SNPs, we obtained 5,580,714 imputed SNPs. PGS for sarcopenia-related traits was calculated as follows: [MATH: PGS=iNβi *Gi :MATH] where [MATH: βi :MATH] was the effect size of SNP [MATH: i :MATH] on the trait, [MATH: Gi :MATH] was the number of effect alleles in the sample, and N was the total number of SNPs used to calculate the PGS. We excluded SNPs from GWAS that exhibited a minor allele frequency <0.01, as well as those identified as palindromic or duplicate. A genome-wide significance threshold of 5E-8 was utilized to filter SNPs, and these were then overlapped with imputed genotype data from the PPMI. To ensure the SNPs associated with each exposure were independent, linkage disequilibrium clumping was applied with an R^2 threshold of 0.1 and a distance of 250 kilobase pairs. Finally, PGS was calculated for 358 patients with PD from the PPMI dataset with available clinical data, using 2490 SNPs associated with ALM, 250 SNPs associated with left-HGS and 285 SNPs associated with right-HGS. PLINK2 (version v2.00a3.7LM) was used to calculate PGS^[152]58. Survival analysis To examine whether PGS for sarcopenia-related traits can predict PD outcomes that exhibited significant casual associations in the MR study, we conducted Cox proportional hazards analysis, while controlling for relevant covariates. To handle observations with tied survival times, we employed the Breslow method. The Bonferroni method was employed for multiple testing correction. We further stratified patients with PD based on each quintile of PGS for sarcopenia-related traits and conducted KM analysis of the probability of PD outcomes. The log-rank test was used to compare KM plots between patients in the highest quintile of PGS and those in the lowest PGS quintile. Cox proportional hazards and KM survival analyses were performed using the coxph function in the survival R package (version 3.5.3) and ggsurvplot function in the survminer R package (version 0.4.9), respectively. Pathway enrichment analysis Pathway enrichment analysis was conducted using g:Profiler (version e109_eg56_p17_1d3191d)^[153]62 which supports employing SNPs as query to perform enrichment analysis. We utilized genome-wide significant SNPs, which were previously used in MR and survival analysis (Supplementary Tables [154]2–[155]4), as inputs for the enrichment analysis. All known genes within the human genome were considered as the statistical domain scope. The reference pathways and gene sets were obtained from the KEGG database^[156]63. To increase the reliability of our results, reference pathways and gene sets containing either a single gene or >1000 genes were discarded from the analysis. The Bonferroni method was applied for multiple testing correction, and adjusted P value < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Pathways that met these criteria were included in our final analysis. Standard protocol approvals, registrations, and patient consent For the Mendelian randomization analysis, we used summary statistics of GWAS from individual studies that were approved by the relevant institutional review boards. For polygenic score analysis, individual-level clinical and genotype data were obtained from PPMI, which was approved by the ethical standards committee on human research at each participating site. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants prior to inclusion in the studies. No new ethical approval was required from the ethics committees for the current report. Supplementary information [157]Supplementary Information^ (2.8MB, pdf) Acknowledgements